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Software · climate risk assessment, step by step

Climate risk assessment software: the steps, and what each must produce

Climate risk assessment software works out which climate hazards could reach each site and asset, how exposed and vulnerable each one is, and how those risks hold up under different scenarios.

This page walks the assessment step by step, names the UK data and rules behind each step, and gives the questions to put to any vendor; it ranks no product.

The assessment

What are the steps of a climate risk assessment? Six, from hazard to action

The IPCC frames climate risk as what results when climate-related hazards meet the exposure and vulnerability of the system affected, in its Sixth Assessment Report.

A good tool keeps those three apart, because a site can be exposed to a hazard without being vulnerable to it, and a single blended score hides which one to fix.

ISO 14091:2021 gives guidelines for the process, from screening assessments to impact chains, for organisations of any size.

The disclosure that follows is judged on climate risk software, which sets out the UK SRS S2 outputs a tool must produce.

  1. 1

    Hazard

    Flood, heat, drought, storm; policy, market and technology change.

  2. 2

    Exposure

    Which sites, assets, suppliers and people sit in harm’s way.

  3. 3

    Vulnerability

    How badly each would be affected, and how well it could cope.

  4. 4

    Risk

    Classed as physical or transition, with a time horizon.

  5. 5

    Scenarios

    How the risks change under different climate and policy futures.

  6. 6

    Action

    Adaptation, resilience and the disclosure that follows.

Steps one to three

What does each of hazard, exposure and vulnerability mean? Three different fields

The IPCC’s glossary defines a hazard as the potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may cause loss or damage.

It defines exposure as the presence of people, livelihoods, assets or ecosystems in places and settings that could be adversely affected.

In AR6, risk refers to the potential for adverse consequences only, so upside belongs in a separate register of opportunities.

For a UK site, the hazard data usually starts from the Met Office’s UKCP18 projections and the Environment Agency’s long-term flood risk service, which rates an area rather than a single property.

Read the data caveats

A flood rating for an area is a screening input, not a property survey; a tool should show the resolution of every dataset it uses.

Ask which emissions scenario and time slice sit behind a projected hazard, because the same site can rate differently for the 2030s and the 2070s.

The three ingredientsExplore

The three ingredients

Hazard

The potential occurrence of a physical event or trend that may cause loss or damage.

Step four

How must a risk be classed for UK SRS S2? Physical or transition, with a horizon

UK SRS S2 asks a company to explain, for each climate-related risk, whether it is physical or transition, and over which time horizon it could take effect, under ¶10 of the standard.

The company defines short, medium and long term itself, linked to its own planning horizons.

Paragraph 29 then asks for the amount and percentage of assets or business activities vulnerable to physical risk, and separately to transition risk, so the tool must hold the threshold that made an asset “vulnerable”.

For listed companies in UKLR 6, 14, 15, 16 and 22, S2 applies on a comply-or-explain basis for periods beginning on or after 1 January 2027, under PS26/19.

One climate
risk

Physical — acute

Event-driven: storms, floods, drought, heatwaves.

UK SRS S2 Appendix A

Physical — chronic

Longer-term shifts in temperature, precipitation, sea level.

UK SRS S2 Appendix A

Transition

Policy, legal, technology, market and reputational risks.

UK SRS S2 Appendix A

Step five

How advanced must the scenario analysis be? Work it out from two answers

UK SRS S2 asks for an approach to scenario analysis commensurate with a company’s circumstances, weighing its exposure and its skills, capabilities and resources, under ¶B2.

A highly exposed company may start with qualitative narratives but would build its capability and move to a more advanced quantitative approach, under ¶B17.

The scenario analysis can follow the strategic planning cycle, for example every three to five years, but the resilience assessment is updated at each reporting date, under ¶B18.

Reference scenario sets include the NGFS scenarios, and the TCFD’s 2020 guidance remains useful background from a disbanded body.

Which scenario-analysis approach fits you?

Is your entity highly exposed to climate-related risks and opportunities?

Two questions; the answer quotes the standard, not a vendor.

Nothing is stored or sent.

Public bodies and utilities

Who reports climate risk to government? Mostly by invitation

ARP4 closed

31 Dec 2024Defra guidance summary

ARP5

Late 2026–2029Anticipated, not started

National assessment

Every 5 yearsClimate Change Act 2008 s.56

Company duty

None generalListed: S2 comply or explain

The Climate Change Act 2008 lets the government direct public bodies and statutory undertakers to report on climate risks and adaptation, and Defra’s guidance says the power has been voluntary since the first round.

The fourth round closed on 31 December 2024, and its published reports from energy networks, water companies and others are a useful benchmark for what an assessment covers.

Defra expects the fifth round to start in late 2026 and run until late 2029, and suggests new reporters cover risks to physical assets, staff, supply and demand, finance and business processes.

The national picture sits in the five-yearly Climate Change Risk Assessment under section 56.

Adaptation reportingExplore

Adaptation reporting

The power

To direct public-function bodies and statutory undertakers to report.

Platforms, in their own words

Which platforms describe climate risk assessment? Three, alphabetically

Three platforms in this site’s registry describe climate risk or scenario work in their own words, and each brings it alongside carbon accounting and disclosure in one place.

Specialist physical-risk data providers that are not in the registry are not listed here, which says nothing about them.

Every platform’s claims on ISSB and UK SRS are compared on IFRS and UK SRS software compared.

The process standard

Is there a standard for the assessment itself? ISO 14091, as guidance

ISO 14091:2021 gives guidelines for assessing the risks related to the potential impacts of climate change, for present and future risks.

ISO’s announcement says it covers screening assessments and impact chains, allowing qualitative and quantitative analysis.

It is guidance, not a certifiable management-system standard, so a vendor can follow it but no product is “ISO 14091 certified”.

An impact chain — hazard, through exposure and vulnerability, to a consequence for the business — is a useful structure to ask any tool to show.

ISO 14091:2021Explore

ISO 14091:2021

Guidelines

For assessing risks from the potential impacts of climate change.

The tests before you sign

How do you test a climate risk tool? Eight questions, each tied to a source

Each question beside this names the paragraph or source it comes from and what a passing answer looks like.

Run them on your own site list, because a demonstration portfolio never includes the warehouse on a floodplain or the supplier you cannot locate.

This site has tested no products

Nothing on this page is a rating, ranking or recommendation of any product.

Climate risk assessment demo questions · tick the ones you need

The pass tests are our reading of the cited provisions.

Nothing you tick is stored or sent.

Climate risk assessment software, in one sentence

A climate risk is a hazard meeting an exposed, vulnerable asset, and the software that keeps those three apart shows you which one to fix.

Takeaways

What to take from this page

Sources: IPCC AR6 · UK SRS S2 ¶¶10, 29, B2, B17, B18.
The factWhat to do
The IPCC frames risk as hazard, exposure and vulnerabilityAsk for three fields per site, each with its data source
UK SRS S2 classes every risk as physical or transitionMake the class and the horizon mandatory on the risk register
Quantitative analysis is expected of exposed, resourced companiesUse the approach finder before choosing a tool’s depth
The resilience assessment is updated every reporting datePlan for an annual update even if scenarios run every few years

Start with the approach finder, then take the demo questions to vendors.

Frequently asked

Climate risk assessment software, answered

What is climate risk assessment software?

Software that works out which climate-related hazards could affect an organisation’s sites, assets and supply chain, how exposed and vulnerable each one is, and how risks change under different climate and policy scenarios.

Its outputs feed adaptation plans and disclosures such as UK SRS S2.

What are the steps of a climate risk assessment?

Identify the hazards (flood, heat, drought, storms, and policy or market changes for transition risk); map exposure (which sites and assets are where); judge vulnerability (how badly each would be affected); combine them into risks with time horizons; test resilience under scenarios; then decide actions.

The IPCC frames climate risk as the interaction of hazard, exposure and vulnerability, and ISO 14091 gives guidance on the process.

Is a climate risk assessment mandatory in the UK?

Not as a general duty.

Listed companies in UKLR 6, 14, 15, 16 and 22 report against UK SRS S2 on a comply-or-explain basis for periods beginning on or after 1 January 2027, under FCA PS26/19, and S2 asks for climate risks and resilience.

The Adaptation Reporting Power lets the government direct public bodies and statutory undertakers to report, but Defra says it has been voluntary since the first round.

Does UK SRS S2 require quantitative scenario analysis?

It depends on the company. ¶B2 asks for an approach commensurate with the company’s circumstances, weighing its exposure and its skills and resources. ¶B17 says a highly exposed company may start with qualitative narratives but would build capability and move to a more advanced quantitative approach.

How often must a climate risk assessment be repeated?

Under UK SRS S2 ¶B18 the scenario analysis can follow the strategic planning cycle, for example every three to five years, but the resilience assessment is updated at each reporting date.

Many organisations refresh the hazard data annually because the projections and sites change.

What is the difference between climate risk software and climate risk assessment software?

They overlap.

On this site, climate risk software is judged against the outputs UK SRS S2 asks for; climate risk assessment software is about the assessment process itself — hazard, exposure, vulnerability, scenarios — and the data behind each step.

What UK climate data should a tool use?

For UK sites, the Met Office’s UKCP18 projections are the national climate baseline, and the Environment Agency’s long-term flood risk service gives flood risk for an area rather than a specific property.

Ask any tool which projection set, scenario and time horizon sit behind each rating.

Is there a standard for climate risk assessment?

ISO 14091:2021 gives guidelines on vulnerability, impacts and risk assessment for adaptation, for any organisation, using screening assessments and impact chains. It is guidance, not a certifiable requirement.

What is the Adaptation Reporting Power?

A power in the Climate Change Act 2008 for the government to ask public bodies and statutory undertakers, such as energy and water companies, to report on climate risks and adaptation.

Defra says the fourth round closed on 31 December 2024, and the fifth is expected to start in late 2026 and run to late 2029.

Do small businesses need climate risk assessment software?

Rarely.

A small business with a handful of sites can check flood risk on the Environment Agency service and record risks in a spreadsheet.

Software earns its place with many sites, physical assets in exposed places, or disclosure duties that need consistent figures year on year.

Has this site tested any climate risk assessment software?

No. The page is built from UK SRS S2, the IPCC, ISO 14091 and government guidance, and the vendor table quotes what each vendor says about itself, in alphabetical order.

Sources

Primary sources

Every rule and definition on this page traces to the standard, report or guidance listed here.

Checked against 16 sources fromIPCCISODepartment for Business and TradeFinancial Conduct AuthorityIFRS FoundationMet Office
  1. IPCC
    AR6 WGIII Annex II, §A.II.7 The Concept of Risk

    Risk from the interaction of hazards with exposure and vulnerability.

  2. IPCC
    AR6 WGII Annex II: Glossary

    The definitions of hazard, exposure and impacts.

  3. ISO
    ISO 14091:2021 Adaptation to climate change — vulnerability, impacts and risk assessment

    Guidelines for present and future climate risk, for any organisation.

  4. ISO
    Assessing the risk of climate change (17 February 2021)

    Screening assessments and impact chains, qualitative and quantitative.

  5. Department for Business and Trade
    UK SRS S2 Climate-related Disclosures (PDF), ¶10, ¶29 and Appendix A

    Physical or transition, time horizons, and the vulnerable-asset metrics.

  6. Department for Business and Trade
    UK SRS S2, Appendix B ¶¶B1–B18

    Scenario analysis commensurate with circumstances; annual resilience assessment.

  7. Department for Business and Trade
    UK Sustainability Reporting Standards S1 and S2

    Published 25 February 2026 for voluntary use.

  8. Financial Conduct Authority
    PS26/19 — final rules on UK SRS reporting by listed companies

    Comply or explain for UKLR 6, 14, 15, 16 and 22, periods from 1 January 2027.

  9. IFRS Foundation
    IFRS S2 Climate-related Disclosures

    The international text UK SRS S2 is based on.

  10. Met Office
    UK Climate Projections (UKCP18)

    Climate projections for the UK, the national hazard baseline.

  11. Environment Agency
    Check your long term flood risk

    Flood risk for an area, not a specific property.

  12. legislation.gov.uk
    Climate Change Act 2008, section 56

    The five-yearly UK Climate Change Risk Assessment.

  13. Defra
    Climate change adaptation reporting: fourth round guidance summary (15 October 2025)

    A power to direct; voluntary since round 1; ARP5 from late 2026.

  14. Defra
    Climate change adaptation reporting: fourth round reports

    Published risk assessments from energy, water, transport and other sectors.

  15. Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (FSB)
    Guidance on Scenario Analysis for Non-Financial Companies (October 2020)

    Guidance from a disbanded body; never a requirement.

  16. Network for Greening the Financial System
    NGFS Scenarios Portal

    A reference set of transition and physical-risk scenarios.

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